Just over two weeks ago, Minister for Health Jennifer Carroll MacNeill was firm in her assertion that she did not accept estimates of a €1 billion deficit in the health service by the end of this year.
Steps were being taken to reduce the overruns, she said, but now it appears that optimism has all but disappeared.
A recent expenditure forecast shows the Health Service Executive predicts a deficit of €1 billion for 2026, including a pay deficit of €142 million.
The Department of Health “based on present trends and the lack of operational control broadly concur with the HSE assessment for the likely out-turn for 2026”, the memo said.
It added that any pay deficit this year would “need to be addressed by the HSE in 2027 and will be applied to the regions where the overrun occurred”.
Tensions between regional management, central HSE management and the department have ratcheted up in recent months.
But as the Minister tightens her control on the health service’s purse strings, and introduces further rules on recruitment and promotions, the prospect of souring relations has become a real possibility.
This year marked the first time funding was devolved to the six regions. Nine months into the new system and two-thirds of those areas had their autonomy over day-to-day spending revoked.
Carroll MacNeill has been clear about who is to blame for this situation, describing it as a “test for management of the different regions”.
A directive to top-level HSE management, which came into effect in recent days, states that for those regions that have exceeded their budgets by more than 2 per cent, “there is no approval for the addition of any employees to payroll without prior formal Department of Health Sanction”.
The new recruitment and promotion rules set out a 20-day time frame for applications to be processed by the HSE and the department. However, there is provision for a “fast track pathway” in exceptional cases, and the memo says patient safety is “paramount”.
But unions have argued the restrictions were being imposed at a time when the State was already short of medical and nursing staff.
Irish Medical Organisation (IMO) president Matthew Sadlier said doctors who had applied, interviewed for, then accepted a role, “would now have no guarantee it would be funded”, adding that the union was “representing members who have been impacted in this way”.
The Irish Nurses and Midwives Organisation said an estimated 2,228 nursing and midwifery posts were vacant.
The IMO said the State needed 6,050 consultants to meet population needs. “We currently have 4,945 whole-time equivalents and, of those, 20 per cent are not filled on a permanent basis, with over 325 posts unfilled.”
It is not only unions who have taken issue with recruitment rules. Cork University Hospital chief executive Jennifer Kearney has also repeatedly raised patient safety concerns due to staff shortages.
As the annual rise in winter illnesses begins to surface in the weeks ahead, and demand on the health system inevitably increases, it will not be long before the impact of the new measures is seen.
Source: The Irish Times · Shauna Bowers, Martin Wall
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